Night racing in Richmond. Gotta love the short tracks.
YTD TOTALS
35-24 +31.20 units (Match-ups)
07-04 +17.90 units (Props)
02-42 - 13.75 units (Outrights)
Total: +35.35 units
Match-Ups
5.00 units Jeff Burton(-105@wsex)over Kurt Busch
Another big play for me(hit 4 out 5 of these so far). Jeff Burton has been ultra consistent so far this year, last week was the first time he didn't place in the Top 15 after being involved in an accident not of his own making. Six of his nine starts have resulted in Top 6 finishes, even more impressive. In three COT races his results were 13th, 6th and 2nd.
Kurt Busch has found a little more of that consistency lately with four straight finishes in the Top 18. But outside of the plate tracks he hasn't really been a front runner all year. Think Burton is Top 10 material while Busch maybe Top 20.
3.00 units Kyle Busch(+150@sportsbook.com)over Tony Stewart
Taking a leap of faith on this one but I love this price. I know Tony has done very well with the COT but so has Busch(even though he has expressed his displeasure with the new cars). Kyle has had a few bumps in the road lately but when he has actually finished the race he has all Top 10's. His history here is very good as well with four Top 5's in four races.
3.00 units Kevin Harvick(-115@thegreek)over Matt Kenseth
One of Harvick's better tracks four straight Top 10's including a win last time here. He has had some ups and downs in '07 but two straight Top 10's maybe a sign this team is getting back together.
Kenseth has been very good so far this year and his COT finishes have been very good really just a gut call on this one.
3.00 units Mark Martin(-110@sportsbook)over Carl Edwards
Martin has looked good everytime out with his worst outing being 12th in Phoenix and has six straight Top 15's at Richmond.
Edwards has struggled somewhat in Cup this year with only two Top 10's.
Props
3.00 units Kurt Busch(-145)to finish worst than 9.5
High price but I just can't see him doing that well.
2.00 units Greg Biffle(+105)to finish better than 10.5
If he can't do well tonight and next week in Darlington(two of his best tracks)it maybe a very long year for this Roush-Fenway team.
2.00 units David Stremme(-130)to finish better than 24.5
After an impressive start Stremme has struggled a bit but I think he can do better than this tonight
Outrights
I suck at these.
1.00 unit Denny Hamlin(7 to 1@wsex)
0.50 unit Kyle Busch(15 to 1@wsex)
0.50 unit Kevin Harvick(12 to 1@wsex)
0.25 unit Greg Biffle(35 to 1@wsex)
Good luck and enjoy the race.
YTD TOTALS
35-24 +31.20 units (Match-ups)
07-04 +17.90 units (Props)
02-42 - 13.75 units (Outrights)
Total: +35.35 units
Match-Ups
5.00 units Jeff Burton(-105@wsex)over Kurt Busch
Another big play for me(hit 4 out 5 of these so far). Jeff Burton has been ultra consistent so far this year, last week was the first time he didn't place in the Top 15 after being involved in an accident not of his own making. Six of his nine starts have resulted in Top 6 finishes, even more impressive. In three COT races his results were 13th, 6th and 2nd.
Kurt Busch has found a little more of that consistency lately with four straight finishes in the Top 18. But outside of the plate tracks he hasn't really been a front runner all year. Think Burton is Top 10 material while Busch maybe Top 20.
3.00 units Kyle Busch(+150@sportsbook.com)over Tony Stewart
Taking a leap of faith on this one but I love this price. I know Tony has done very well with the COT but so has Busch(even though he has expressed his displeasure with the new cars). Kyle has had a few bumps in the road lately but when he has actually finished the race he has all Top 10's. His history here is very good as well with four Top 5's in four races.
3.00 units Kevin Harvick(-115@thegreek)over Matt Kenseth
One of Harvick's better tracks four straight Top 10's including a win last time here. He has had some ups and downs in '07 but two straight Top 10's maybe a sign this team is getting back together.
Kenseth has been very good so far this year and his COT finishes have been very good really just a gut call on this one.
3.00 units Mark Martin(-110@sportsbook)over Carl Edwards
Martin has looked good everytime out with his worst outing being 12th in Phoenix and has six straight Top 15's at Richmond.
Edwards has struggled somewhat in Cup this year with only two Top 10's.
Props
3.00 units Kurt Busch(-145)to finish worst than 9.5
High price but I just can't see him doing that well.
2.00 units Greg Biffle(+105)to finish better than 10.5
If he can't do well tonight and next week in Darlington(two of his best tracks)it maybe a very long year for this Roush-Fenway team.
2.00 units David Stremme(-130)to finish better than 24.5
After an impressive start Stremme has struggled a bit but I think he can do better than this tonight
Outrights
I suck at these.
1.00 unit Denny Hamlin(7 to 1@wsex)
0.50 unit Kyle Busch(15 to 1@wsex)
0.50 unit Kevin Harvick(12 to 1@wsex)
0.25 unit Greg Biffle(35 to 1@wsex)
Good luck and enjoy the race.
